Neil Davis takes 'A Citizen's Look at Oil Taxation'
by dermotcole
 Dermot Cole
Aug 15, 2011 | 2644 views | 25 25 comments | 20 20 recommendations | email to a friend | print | permalink

UPDATE: Laurie Fagnani, president of the marketing firm MSI Communications, said that the Make Alaska Competitive Coalition is not funded by the Alliance, as alleged by Davis. She also said that her firm has acted ethically and responsibly in the campaign, contrary to statements made by Davis. 

She said the coalition is a group of people from across the state and is not controlled by the oil companies. They share a realization that with declining oil production, the state's economy is at risk, she said.

 

• Neil Davis, a retired professor of geophysics at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, has written a detailed two-part analysis of  Gov. Sean Parnell's proposed oil tax reduction, adding a valuable perspective to the debate. He is doing his part to advance the cause of creating a more informed discussion in Alaska.

Davis, who has written several works of fiction and nonfiction in addition to his scientific work, calls his series, "A Citizen's Look at Oil Taxation."  It first appeared in the Ester Republic.

He begins by saying: "We Alaskans should thank the Alaska Senate for refusing to alter the state’s oil tax legislation pending further review of changes proposed by Governor Parnell and approved by a slight majority of the House.

"This refusal is proper because the legislature has not as yet received sufficient information to justify changing the legislation. Furthermore, both the Alaska public and the Legislature have been bombarded quite recently with much misleading and even false information that needs to be evaluated and, where appropriate, refuted."

Here is the two-part series by Davis : Part 1 and Part 2.

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Justliberty
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August 17, 2011
Put_UP

The fact that the state owns the right to the resources means that the state government is an oil company (and a gold company, a coal company, a timber company ...). We just don't seem to realize it when we elect our board of directors and the CEO.

It isn't a vertically integrated oil company, but it would seem to make sense to figure out how to improve the efficiency of the company we have before we expand into other parts of the resource to market 'value chain', because the oil industry operates within a complicated and volatile market. Competing successfully in that market requires a high degree of expertise and a willingness to assume considerable investment risk.

Distributing the income earned from the company's business (i.e. selling our resources) directly to the shareholders (i.e. Alaska citizens) in the form of a cash payment as justme24 suggests would be a great way to help us look at our business differently. (We are currently receiving dividend payments in the form of 'services') The odds are that we would give different instructions to our Board of Directors and our CEO if we would see the result of their effort in the form of a direct cash payment.

This would of course require other parts of the state government (the sovereign aspect) to ask for some of that payment back in a more apparent form of taxation than simply keeping all of the income from the sale of our resources.

Would we be any happier though? Probably not. ... The shareholders of the native corporations don't seem to be much happier with their company than we are with ours. That has to do with the fact that it is truly unearned income and they have no more ability to sell their shares than we would have to sell ours.
Justliberty
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August 17, 2011
'Hats off' to Neil Davis for the analytical work and to the Newsminer (and Ester Republic) for publishing it. He makes a good point about Alaska's takes rates relative to other "owner-states" with which we compete to attract oil industry investment. Although I thought at the time ACES was passed that the whole structure favored 'exploratory' investment over 'development' investment and newcomers over established producers when the credits were factored in. That isn't necessarily bad, but wasn't (and am still not) sure that we are maximizing the potential return on our resource portfolio. But I thought that the legislature made a 'thoughtful' decision at the time and can't get too upset with the Senate for wanting more time to consider a change now.

It is also important to remember that 'government take' is only part of the equation.

Producing oil in Alaska requires relatively high capital expenditure compared to some other places, as well as high 'permitting risk' and regulatory compliance costs. So the companies might expect a higher return to offset those risks.

As Einstein observed "everything is relative". The main point to keep in mind is that we need to look at this as a business negotiation with sophisticated players. We need to match their skill to stay in the game, but we don't want to drive them away from the table.

Put_Up
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August 16, 2011
First off, thanks to Mr. Davis for the thoughtful article and thanks to the NewsMiner for linking to it.

Second, I think it's time for a state run, Alaska oil company. We already have the Permanent Fund which is a quasi-state run entity with a sole objective of making money, and has been doing REALLY well. An Alaska Oil Company will not play the games of not developing fields, will not pretend that they will leave some of the largest oil fields in the world until they get more tax breaks, and will certainly not be motivated to make Alaska a third-world country.

The state is already building the "Roads to Resources" - meaning the billions in dollars of infrastructure so oil companies can access the oil, maintains all the roads, too. The state already owns the airports in Anchorage and Fairbanks (which are some of the most successful airports in the country) to provide people and goods to the oil fields. The state is subsidizing 50% of the capital expenses incurred by the oil companies, let's just go all the way, only the people of Alaska will actually OWN the equipment instead of paying for it while the asset still belongs to shareholders elsewhere around the world. Alaskans already own the oil according to the Constitution. In fact, I would say that the state Constitution REQUIRES a state owned oil company, because it would, without a doubt, provide the maximum benefit to Alaska - without a doubt.

I implore someone here to explain why an Alaskan Oil Company would be bad for Alaska. Not by throwing out empty rhetoric (i.e. blah blah blah North Korea, blah blah blah socialism), but by actually explaining why a state owned oil company would be bad for Alaska and the people of Alaska.

These foreign oil companies are evil. They want us to cut education for our kids, yah know...the thing that will make our kids competitive in a world economy, so they can get vast sums more money to add to their already vast sums of money. They want us to stop building and maintaining the roads that they don't use so they can do a little more drilling in another foreign country. They want the kids of working families to not be able to see a doctor when they get sick (and yes, it will be the kids of working families who will suffer cuts first, the poorest of the poor will still meet income thresholds) because some F'ing shareholder wants a third McMansion (not built in Alaska by an Alaska contractor). You are insane if you think that coddling these foreign oil companies is reaping the maximum benefit for Alaskans. We NEED a state owned oil company. Period.
JustMe24
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August 15, 2011
I worked for our state for almost 20 years. I saw so much running around the block to get next door that I got into the practice of looking for the shortest distance from point a to point b for amusement.

One of my favorites.

Alaska is the 2nd most socialist state in the union. It's built into our constitution. All mineral wealth is owned in common by all citzens.

Mostly because of they way politics works, I do not believe that through our State and Local governments is the best way to distribute this wealth.

All public wealth from mineral development permanant fund included, should be distributed directly to the citizens.

We then should pay taxes to support our various governments. Most alaskans have no idea what government costs us. That isn't good for us.
MJEofFairbanks
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August 14, 2011
I just wished the State of Alaska would stop collecting it's royalties in the form of oil, which it forces instate refineries to buy at above market value. Essentially, this high priced oil, the state sells to Alaskans, that have been the backbone for the high price at the pumps.

The state, selling this oil to Alaskans, is simply a back door approach to taxing it's residents. IT's also counter productive to Alaska's growth.

swimmingupstream
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August 13, 2011
This is an addendum to my previous comment.

Our webmaster has been working to get our website operational this week. If you are unable to access it, try next week. In the meantime, we have a PO Box address:

Alaskans United

1231 W. Northern Lights Blvd.

Anchorage, AK 99503
swimmingupstream
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August 13, 2011
One of the posters mentioned a group called Alaskans United to Stop Our Oil wealth Giveaway.

I am a member of "Alaskans United to Stop Our Oil Wealth Giveaway." We organized this summer and are beginning to have an active presence in Anchorage. Today, we had a booth at the REAP Fair in Anchorage. Our mission is to promote a citizens' movement to maintain ACES as the method the State of Alaska uses to determine the price of our oil resources.

To join, go to our website: www.stopouroilwealthgiveaway.org.
Neildavisalaska
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August 13, 2011
In her commentary on Dermot Cole’ blog piece regarding my articles on oil taxation, the general manager of the Alaska Industry Support Alliance suggests that I wrongly stated where the financing came from to pay for MSI Communication’s participation in setting up the astroturf organization named the Make Alaska Competitive Coalition. Perhaps my wording was not the best, but I did not mean to imply that, as an organization, the Alliance funneled money directly to the Coalition, but rather to the astroturf operator, MSI Communications. The Alliance apparently funded MSI Communication to develop the “Faces of Aces” campaign out of which grew the Make Alaska Competitive Coalition. It also is managed by and closely linked to MSI Communications. Indeed, both the Coalition and the astroturfing public relations firm share the same physical address in Anchorage, and MSI’s Jason Moore is listed as the primary contact with the Coalition. As I understand it, the Alliance is an association of companies whereas the Coalition membership also includes members of the Alliance and various individuals, many of whom are associated with the organizations in the Alliance. It appears to be a cozy, expedient relationship.
rlogan
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August 11, 2011
As the General Manager for the Alliance - I was greatly surprised to see Mr. Davis accuse the organization of providing the funding for the Make Alaska Competitive Coalition. Not one dime from this organization has gone to the MACC coalition - I expect an immediate retraction from the author - the hypocrisy of Mr. Davis chastising people for providing bad information at the very same time that he is doing the same is not lost on me.
Invictus
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August 10, 2011
I will put up the first $100 to go towards a one-way ticket to North Korea for "teapartypatriot-2". Gas is almost free in that "People's Marxist Utopia", too.
teapartypatriot_2
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August 10, 2011
In Venezuela the price of gasoline is about 12 cents a gallon. They nationalized the oil companies. We should do the same.
teapartypatriot_2
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August 10, 2011
I again insist that our capitalistic system is about to come to an end. The riots in England are the seeds of revolution that may soon spread to the USA. The wealthy corporations will go to any means to achieve higher profits. They have absolutely no moral obligation to stop their greed. Our system has evolved into a two class system, the poor and the wealthy.

The wealthy are no longer satisfied with lobbying, they now want to put their partners into government at the helm. Governor Parnell is an example of this kind of corruption in the USA. If there were no food stamps, extension of unemployment benefits, and medicaid riots would begin all over the USA. Who is kidding who. Karl Marx never sounded so good.
TheAlaskaCurmudgeon
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August 10, 2011
Let's not forget that FMay lives in Canada and gets government provided health care.
SkinFish
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August 10, 2011
The Professor seems to have done his homework with these articles.

sourdoe
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August 10, 2011
Thanks for the links Mr. Cole. Some valuable reading. It is good to have information on the nature of how other information is being presented. Statistics can be so unethically twisted, and that demonstrates a huge lack of credibility of the self-interested "The Make Alaska Competitive Coalition".

First time I have read the term astroturfing, but I really like it to explain the advertising campaign of highly funded enterprise hiding behind the guise of a grassroots organization. This is part of the reason that our political system is in such dishevel. Politicians get bought under the auspices of being a representative of the people.

I digress. Appreciated introduction to a valuable link.
mileder
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August 10, 2011
You're wasting everybody's time fmay. I see you don't have anything to say about the actual content of Neil's articles.
Prodigal_Son
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August 10, 2011
While the majority of those indicted for corruption in the most recent round of the Fed's brief examination of Juneau's oil-slicked legislators and ethically-challenged players were Rs, the fact is that selling out the Alaskan People to the oily corporate sugar daddies has not been a purely one-party orgy of greed-absent-ethics-and-integrity.

Nope, there's also been the likes of Tony Knowles and Bill Sheffield (and more) who stand as stellar examples that greenbacks and political grease are held in high regard by both Donkeys and Elephants alike.

Corporations willing to bend the rules, or break them entirely, rarely bribe the minority party; there's little benefit in it, unless the persons doing the bribing/extorting are seeking a specific endorsement from a specific individual, either due to that person's socio-political clout or regional representation, or to swing a vote that teeters by a single vote or two. Effective political gerry-mandering primarily and inherently involves bribing or trading favors with those in the majority, as they hold the power to say 'yes' or 'no.'

Still, at both the state and national levels, the oilies have been far more generous to the R's committees than to the D's. Not entirely due to the lofty ethics of the Ds, but rather because the Ds are also very much aware that a calculable percentage of their constituency would disapprove of such incestuous relationships in fairly serious ways, and today's elections are often decided by one or two percentage points, if that. The loss of a fraction of one's support to a third party with no chance of winning, but every chance of tilting the cart, sometimes motivates equally unethiocal persons to do the right things for the wrong reasons.

Welcome to the sleazy world of Big Money Politics and Partisanism as a Cult-Religion, where much of what might'ev been our hopes for more pure representation died quietly, in smoke-filled rooms, behind closed and locked doors (such as those at the Baranof Hotel) a long time ago.

What was that slogan the Founders were alleged to have reitterated so loudly? Oh, yeah, I remember, "No taxation without representation."
Invictus
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August 09, 2011
BS500 -- I believe it was a "white trash republican" who also fought big oil and won.

How about that?
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